What Will It Take?

Well 3 games in and 5 points gained. Most Wolves fans would have taken this start before the season commenced. But exactly what are the expectations for the new season? The bookies have used the bright opening start to the season to reduce the odds on Wolves being promoted to 9/2 from 11/2. After taking 4 points from two clubs, Reading and Ipswich, also fancied at the start of the season to be on the edge of the promotion zone next up after Birmingham is another promotion fancied challenger, Huddersfield. But looking further ahead and assuming Wolves fans have promotion expectations then what’s required in hard points terms to achieve this?

The average points total required to gain automatic promotion over the last eight  seasons in the Championship is 87 with a range between 83 and 93.  To achieve play off status has required an average of 74 points with a range between 68 and 78 points. If a play off place is a minimum requirement for Wolves new owners then 78 points will likely secure this. To achieve this will require Wolves to secure an average 1.7 points per game. At this stage, despite being unbeaten,   we’re no more than bang on target and this shows the importance of winning home games rather than drawing too many games as the season progresses.

Going back to a short-term view and looking at Saturday’s game the bookies favour Birmingham but to me this is as near to a banker draw you will see this season. 1-1.

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